All of that said, the preseason has taught us nothing. But we feel very comfortable working with our 10Kgold gut in Week 1. Bet your conscience.This figures to be one of the most popular picks as well, but isn't nearly as safe as Colts over Raiders. This may be a safe pick, but it's hard to justify going with the Steelers instead of the Colts. You're not getting great pot odds with either, and the Colts are a far superior straightup bet.

Why the plunge?: Blaming this mess completely on the foot injury that has sidelined Jacksonville best player running back Maurice JonesDrew would be misguided. New head coach Mike Mularkey and offensive coordinator Bob Bratkowski weren deploying MJD properly even before he was hurt in Week 7 against Oakland. In three of the five full games JonesDrew played, the NFL reigning rushing leader was given 13 carries or less.The defensive ends all 43 teams want are Chicago Julius Peppers and Houston Mario Williams, elite athletes who look like p